In 2015 the emergence of so called ugly 4L.com names started their rise. People started posting wanted threads on Namepros, “Looking for 4L.coms no a,e,i,o,u,v.”
The prices started to pick up pretty rapidly, I owned two 4L.coms and the first one I auctioned on Namepros and it sold for $335. I auctioned the other on NameJet a couple months later and that sold for $1,500.
Prices continued to pick up and a ton of interest was laser focused on the niche. Tim Schoon a domain investor and owner of PEJ.com Private Equity and Brokerage, coined the phrase “Chips.”
Frank Schilling told Domain Sherpa he sold 2,000 4L CHIPS for 3 Million dollars.
The price of Chips in 2017 are nowhere near where near they were in early 2016.
You can use Namebio and put in PPPP to hone in on just Chips and see the trends.
Recent 4L Chip sales
kkwd.com | 961 USD | 2017-10-15 | NameJet |
xbxy.com | 950 USD | 2017-10-15 | NameJet |
qcfs.com | 940 USD | 2017-10-15 | NameJet |
dwpp.com | 925 USD | 2017-10-15 | NameJet |
cbyh.com | 944 USD | 2017-10-14 | NameJet |
mhgr.com | 892 USD | 2017-10-14 | GoDaddy |
cpjj.com | 2,200 USD | 2017-10-13 | NameJet |
gfjf.com | 923 USD | 2017-10-13 | NameJet |
hqft.com | 892 USD | 2017-10-13 | GoDaddy |
hkpx.com | 956 USD | 2017-10-12 | NameJet |
ghdd.com | 940 USD | 2017-10-12 | NameJet |
gbnd.com | 923 USD | 2017-10-12 | NameJet |
tpqr.com | 912 USD | 2017-10-12 | GoDaddy |
jdqc.com | 1,612 USD | 2017-10-11 | NameJet |
zsds.com | 1,000 USD | 2017-10-11 | Sedo |
czgj.com | 965 USD | 2017-10-11 | NameJet |
xccj.com | 949 USD | 2017-10-11 | NameJet |
smnb.com | 939 USD | 2017-10-11 | NameJet |
kfyn.com | 932 USD | 2017-10-11 | NameJet |
hwry.com | 927 USD | 2017-10-11 | NameJet |
sfxs.com | 1,108 USD | 2017-10-10 | NameJet |
ytrr.com | 932 USD | 2017-10-10 | NameJet |
rcxm.com | 924 USD | 2017-10-10 | NameJet |
stpx.com | 924 USD | 2017-10-10 | NameJet |
Looking back at 2015
qmcc.com | 2,671 USD | 2015-12-31 | NameJet |
rndp.com | 2,085 USD | 2015-12-31 | NameJet |
qscm.com | 2,000 USD | 2015-12-31 | Uniregistry |
qncm.com | 2,000 USD | 2015-12-31 | Uniregistry |
dpsc.com | 4,100 USD | 2015-12-30 | NameJet |
jdjw.com | 3,300 USD | 2015-12-30 | NameJet |
yzcp.com | 2,530 USD | 2015-12-30 | GoDaddy |
yrkk.com | 2,214 USD | 2015-12-30 | GoDaddy |
mwqf.com | 2,120 USD | 2015-12-30 | DropCatch |
ktqj.com | 2,036 USD | 2015-12-30 | 4.CN |
mcln.com | 2,001 USD | 2015-12-30 | Flippa |
zkng.com | 1,926 USD | 2015-12-30 | GoDaddy |
fbjg.com | 1,900 USD | 2015-12-30 | NameJet |
kzxn.com | 1,801 USD | 2015-12-30 | NameJet |
cdlc.com | 4,544 USD | 2015-12-29 | NameJet |
pbdx.com | 2,600 USD | 2015-12-29 | NameJet |
So now a thread emerged on Namepros asking if 4L Chips were the best example of a Pump and Dump?
We are all now familiar with the term “PUMP and DUMP” which we daily see in crypto currency markets.
Looking backwards into the time of Chinese premium and 4L domain names reaching $2,500 and then coming back to the floor, don’t you think it was the perfect example of pump and dump?
Pumping the price continuously higher and higher and when a peak was attained, dumping it slowing back to the floor price.
My answer would be that’s too simplistic, it was much more complicated than that and things were not orchestrated on a grand scale, there was separate thought processes taking place all over the place.
There were plenty of small domainers who never made much in domaining that all of a sudden woke up to major profit. The demand coming from China and those looking to get rich quick created a bubble. Everyone likes to pick where they told everyone to stay away. Truth is some people who brag about “I knew it was hype” or “I said run for the hills” started saying that at $50 and then $500, eventually they were right to a certain degree, but if the small timers had listened to them at $100 – $300 they missed out on making a fortune.
In November of 2015 I wrote an article, There will always be someone holding the bag. People always want to get rich quick and get caught up in a speculation that’s getting frothy.
It has been a very eventful 2+ years in that niche but a LOT of people made a lot of money, and they weren’t just the biggest players. It’s been very interesting times.
Joseph Peterson says
People made money, yes. They made the money that other people lost. Wallets just moved from pocket to pocket. Those who sold on the way up from $1000 to $3000 accepted money from buyers who have now realized a commensurate loss on the way down from $3000 to $1000.
Some new money was injected into the industry. That’s reflected in the steady-state jump from old floor prices to today’s much higher floor prices. But there has been a fairly steady deflation too.
Let’s not gloss over what happened. People explained what was going on. People made predictions. Some people were dead wrong. Some people were spot on. Generally speaking, the critics were smeared and attacked constantly. But in the Fall of 2015, if you read what was written online and listened to the right people, you knew exactly what was going to happen in 2016 and 2017. These weren’t vague predictions, covering all bases. Some of us stuck our necks out, pointing to the down turn that was right around the corner, saying that it was right around the corner and explaining why. It’s all part of the record now, though domainers seldom pay attention to the past.
Raymond Hackney says
Right Joseph but if the little domainer listened to the “critics” in 2015 they missed out on making a lot of money, if I own something at $50 and sell for $2,500 to be honest I don’t care if they go back down to $1,000. It’s about timing and risk management. Some critics started yelling sell at $50 not $1,500.
Joseph Peterson says
As long as people know what they’re getting into when they ante up at the poker table. Everybody puts money in. Somebody walks away with the pot. It wasn’t entirely luck, since many domainers knew how to play the game.
But it was a zero-sum game. Not to be confused with investment in a project (like stock) or a supply chain from wholesale to retail to end user (like the usage-based domain market).
Raymond Hackney says
Exactly, that’s why I wrote there is always someone holding the bag.
Konstantinos Zournas says
It was obvious to me that something that was worth $200 and then $2,000 it was not going to last.
I bought at $70 long before any of this and sold at $2,200 a couple of months before the collapse. I never buy on the way up. The collapse came a few weeks after namescon.
Yes, it was a pump and dump but mostly not controlled by the old domainers but from the Chinese.
Raymond Hackney says
A lot of those Chinese failed at pumping and dumping because a lot of them are the bag holders. Some were using 4L.com as a way to move capital around outside of China.
Michael Berkens says
Now they moved on to Bitcoin
Jonathan says
True. “seldom pay attention to the past`”
What we believe determines what we take to be trues, pass the snake oil to the chap buying the lottery ticket.
Mark Thorpe says
It was a pump and dump to a certain degree, thanks to a hedge fund.
Mark Thorpe says
Yes, there is a lot of pump and dump in the crypto-currency markets, daily. But some ex-domainers still have their blinders on, but instead of having them on for CHIPs, they now have them on for ICO’s and crypto-currency.
VR says
It was not a pump and dump like a penny stock deal, it was speculation, those Chinese investors wanted those domain names. Sour grapes for those who lost and you are right the critics just kept adjusting their timeframe. I owned four letter chips from 2006 that I sold for a fortune in 2016, guys on np were saying to sell at 1/10 those prices. So they can suck it.
DomainNameBroker.com says
We do not think it was a pump and dump scheme, but we may be mistaken.
We think the domain name market is hard to manipulate and not lucrative enough to manipulate.
This is our opinion.
Samit says
The point is, even if it was a pump and dump, it did raise the ‘floor’ prices significantly. The floor price on a chip today is, let’s say, $888 😉 – it was $10 before the pump. Even other random 4Ls floor is $200 today, you could pick up a lot of 10 for $200 in 2014!!
Even today you can get a decent pronounceable 4L.com for $250, imho that’s still a buying opportunity basically because of the potential upside, I’m guessing those buying chips at $900+ even today have similar opportunities that we might not have access to.
Similarly, I believe cryptos and icos are a scam, a lot of money will go into hands of the less than ethical types, but a lot of people will make money too. Ask someone who bought btc in Jan 2016 – he / she probably paid $550, it’s 10x today, in 18 months, not bad ROI. Would I invest in them today? Probably not, haven’t in the past either, because in my opinion currency is meant to be spent, it’s not a store of value as the ‘hodl’ crowd claims it is.
John M says
We own one LLLL.com and it’s Wkii.com obviously a play on “wiki” with over a billion search results but if you look back all you have to know is that Rick Schwartz was selling not buying in the later part of 2015 and in a BIG way. It’s really no difference than a stock market bubble. If there were a ” money flow index”or a “death cross” indicator for domains as there is in stocks it could have easily been spotted. That’s why at least for now we only own one. Great article Raymond-thank you for posting .
mikle jones says
“Even today you can get a decent pronounceable 4L.com for $250,”
proof? thought.so.
Will says
I remember watching the DomainSherpa show during the time of the Chinese buyers inflating the market and I remember Frank Schilling talking about that huge portfolio sale and suggesting to viewers to sell as well and take advantage. I am pretty sure they had an idea that the market was not always going to be like that since they have been around so long.
The key is being able to recognize an opportunity and being able to be on the right side of the spectrum. I want to be the person that has the supply and makes profit from the surge in the demand. I do wonder if we will ever have another Chinese inflation and that type of market again.
– Will
Joseph Peterson says
Yeah. Wasn’t that the interview where Frank Schilling started the spreading the rumor that China has more millionaires that the USA has citizens? Pure nonsense, of course. But in January at NamesCon, even after the bubble was punctured, domainers were coming up to me repeating that myth about China.