According to a statement released by ICANN tonight, it appears the TAS system is at a couple of weeks away from being re-opened.
Today was the day that ICANN promised a week ago it would give a date for the re-opening of the TAS system and for the Big Reveal
Here is what ICANN said a week ago about today April 27th:
““”No later than 27 April 2012 we will provide an update on the reopening of the system and the publication of the applied-for new domain names.””
Yet today the only update is that “ICANN will notify all applicants within the next seven business days whether our analysis shows they were affected by the technical glitch in the TLD application system.”
Only after that occurs does it seem that ICANN will announce when the TAS system will re-open for at least 5 days.
There is still no word on when the Big Reveal will take place but this week the group putting on the viewing party to be held in Paris, sent out new invitations for May 22nd.
We have no idea of how the group came up with a date of May 22nd but they may know something we don’t
Lets make a few assumptions and try to figure out when this might all come down
So 7 business days from today is May 8th.
If ICANN is ready to open the system back up by that date, you figure ICANN will give a few days notice before re-opening the TAS system, so lets say Monday the 14th is the day the TAS system may re-open and then close on that Friday May 18th.
ICANN had said they would make the Big Reveal 2 weeks after the application period but we also have the memorial day holiday weekend in the US from May 25- May 28th so we are going to predict the Big Reveal might happen around May 31st.
Certainly ICANN would not want to push the Big Reveal off until June.
Here is tonight statement in full:
“”Statement by Akram Atallah, COO
ICANN will notify all applicants within the next seven business days whether our analysis shows they were affected by the technical glitch in the TLD application system.
In order to make these notifications, we are identifying each applicant file name and user name that might have been viewed, and who might have viewed them. To do that, we are reviewing internal system logs and full packet-level capture of all traffic to and from the application system from 12 January through 12 April.
Our analysis continues to show that a limited number of applicants were affected.
Shortly after the notification process has been completed, we will announce the schedule for reopening the application system and completing the application period. We are mindful of the need to allow sufficient time during the reopening period for applicants to confirm the completeness of their submissions.
We are also continuing to test the fix and enhance system performance in preparation for reopening.
We fully understand the frustration and inconvenience caused by the continuing suspension of the application system and will provide further updates as new information becomes available.””
“We Predict Big Reveal For May 31st”
What YEAR do you predict ?
2015?
2020?
2030?
“enhance system performance in preparation for reopening”
What happens if people find out that the real reason for the TAS delay was that the system does not scale ?
Do people expect the rest of the ICANN process to scale ?
How much capital will be squandered before people pull the plug on the entire fiasco ? Who will end up with all the money ?
Coincidentally, May 31st is also the deadline for submissions to SA1301-12-RP-0043:
The United States Department of Commerce (DoC), National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) intends to award a contract to maintain the continuity and stability of services related to certain interdependent Internet technical management functions, known collectively as the Internet Assigned Numbers Authority (IANA).
The anticipated period of performance of this contract is October 1, 2012 – September 30, 2015.
https://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=72dc5eb7b831f44f5eadb6c2f44a60ef&tab=core&_cview=0
Be Careful WHAT You Ask For OR Predict
THEY have your money and are spending it as they please 🙂
THEY can fabricate any problems and delays they want as your money is spent.
Incumbents have no interest in allowing others into their game.
Governments are desperately looking for IT to all go away and be replaced.
IAHC replaced by ICANN replaced by ???
ICANN may have to change CEO choice
The carefully vetted **political** CEO may not (NOW) want the ICANN job
A new CEO choice may have to be made to handle the new ICANN tasks (.TBD)
ARIN hired a CEO years ago who decided not to show up after being “vetted”
What would ICANN be for ??? “if the Internet Governed Itself…
But perhaps in 20 years, enhancing multistakeholder governance of the internet will be a moot point. Verisign’s Kaliski participated in the closing roundtable entitled, “Game Changers: Where will they take us by 2032?”
“I predict that, by the year 2032, the internet will be self-governing,” Kaliski said, “The internet, the collections of interconnected computer systems will be sufficiently capable, for many parts, to handle its own governance, to steer itself in accordance with its stakeholders.” As much as his vision of the future of internet governance sounds like science fiction, given the speed of digital progress, its plausibility may be scary for some.”
“And in such a changing environment you need some parts that you can rely on, that are able to adapt to those interactions,” Kaliski told Intellectual Property Watch. “If the internet can develop more sophisticated governance mechanisms that are predictable and programmable, then they are more adaptable to the changing interest and more accountable.”
Keywords: “predictable and programmable”
ICANN is unpredictable and based on antiquated expensive manual processes
Which will come first? TAS will be operational or the deadline to respond to RFP SA1301-12-RP-0043 to manage and maintain Internet Assigned Numbers Authority (IANA), currently awarded to ICANN, issued by the US Department of Commerce.
It is amazing how easily people are distracted and delayed.
Who would have guessed that people would pay $185,000 for the privilege?
The insiders are laughing all the way to the bank and their new ventures. 🙂